You are caring for a 48-year-old admitted 18 hours ago with severe acute pancreatitis. On admission the patient was on 2 L nasal cannula with an SpO2 of 96%. Across your shift you have increased the oxygen twice. The patient is now on high-flow at 50% FiO2, the SpO2 is 89%, the respiratory rate is 32, and the patient is restless with new bilateral crackles.
The oxygen requirement keeps climbing and the SpO2 keeps falling. What is this trend telling you?
The diagnosis you were handed is pancreatitis. The complication you are anticipating is ARDS. Severe acute pancreatitis can trigger systemic inflammation that injures the alveolar-capillary membrane, an indirect cause of acute lung injury. You are not diagnosing ARDS. You are reading the trajectory and acting on it.
When oxygen goes up but the SpO2 does not follow, suspect refractory hypoxemia. Fluid-filled and collapsed alveoli still have blood flowing past them with little ventilation, so blood shunts through unoxygenated. Raising FiO2 alone cannot correct a shunt. That is why the trend, not a single reading, drives your judgment.
"The SpO2 is low, so just increase the oxygen." Ask instead: is the patient responding to the oxygen? A rising requirement with a falling number is escalation, not reassurance.
keep asking why